UEFA Champions League Final Betting Preview
This Saturday evening sees the closing act of the 2023/24 club campaign before the action switches to the international scene for the long-anticipated Euro 2024 Championships. Heading into the start of June, a new name had been etched onto all of the major trophies…all bar the biggest one of all – the Champions League.
Following a nail-biting Group phase and the thrilling knockout stages, perennial challengers Real Madrid and German hopefuls Borussia Dortmund are the last two teams standing, as the duo heads to Wembley Stadium for the biggest club fixture of the season. Here, we pick out our best bets for what promises to be an enthralling encounter.
Not Always as Entertaining as Anticipated
In the lead-up to these major finals, it is normal for fans to dream of an end-to-end all-time classic. However, the recent Champion’s League have rarely delivered a goal-fest. Perhaps understandably, given the magnitude of the occasion, the Champions League Final has served up a succession of cagey encounters, as sides focus on limiting the opposition as their number one priority – the results of the last five finals reading 2-0, 1-0, 1-0, 1-0, and 1-0.
That trend suggests that under 2.50 goals and backing No in the Both Teams to Score market are viable options. However, we will look to boost our odds by combining the Match Result with the BTTS market.
If this delivers a tight encounter, we can’t help but side with the team with the most potential matchwinners. Both sides possess plenty of quality in the forward positions, but in a battle of Niclas Füllkrug, Jadon Sancho, and Karim Adeyemi vs Vinícius Júnior, Rodyrgo, and Jude Bellingham, we will plump for the latter every time. Taking Real Madrid to edge a close encounter looks like a solid call, whilst the odds against quotes for under 2.5 goals are also hard to ignore, considering the bet would have landed in each of the past five editions.
- Recommended Bet - Match Result and BTTS – Real Madrid/No @ 7/4 with bet365
- Recommended Bet - Under 2.5 Goals @ 11/10 with bet365
Bet Builder
The above two options rate our strongest bets for the final. However, we have a nagging suspicion that Borussia Dortmund are a little fortunate to have made it this far and may be completely exposed if falling behind relatively early in the game.
After all, Dortmund finished only fifth in the Bundesliga (Real Madrid have already beaten Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, who finished third and fourth) and are averaging almost 2 xG Goals Against in the competition. They may have conceded only nine times across 12 Champions League games, but their opponents have hit the woodwork on no fewer than 12 occasions – a new record for the Champions League. Facing a side unbeaten in 90 minutes over their last 47 games, who came home ten points clear at the top of La Liga, the potential is there for the wheels to come off the Dortmund challenge.
Should Dortmund creak under the pressure, Real’s forwards are likely to be queueing up to take advantage - Vinícius Júnior, Rodrygo, and super-sub Joselu all have five Champion’s League goals this term, with Bellingham only one behind on four.
We don’t see this being so embarrassing that all four get on the scoresheet, so we will narrow our selection to just two - Vinícius Júnior and Bellingham. The Brazilian wide-man is in the form of his career and nigh on impossible to stop with his blistering pace and trickery. Bellingham, meanwhile, has proven time and time again that he is the man for the big occasion and boasts a stellar strike rate of 19 goals in 28 La Liga appearances this term. Given his form, bet365’s 4/1 about Bellingham being named man of the match makes some appeal, and would certainly send the influential Englishman into this summers tournament on a high.
With the above in mind, we will back up our single sections by combining the following options in a small-stakes Bet Builder centred around a more entertaining encounter dominated by Real Madrid.
- BTTS - No
- Real Madrid Most Corners
- Real Madrid to Score Over 2.5 Goals
- Vinícius Júnior to Score
- Jude Bellingham to Score
A £5 bet on the above Bet Builder returns £95 with William Hill.
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